نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 گروه آینده پژوهی، پژوهشکده حضرت ولی عصر (عج)، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (,ع)، تهران، ایران
2 دانشیار و مدیر گروه پژوهشهای فرهنگی اجتماعی، دانشگاه باقرالعلوم (ع)، قم، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
This study, employing a descriptive–analytical approach and utilizing scientometric methods, investigates the conceptual structure as well as the co-authorship and co-word networks within the Persian-language literature on indigenous and Islamic futures studies. Research data were collected, first, through systematic searches in specialized futures studies journals and, subsequently, through major Persian indexing databases such as NoorMags, MagIran, SID, IranDoc, and Google Scholar. Out of an initial set of 140 identified articles, 86 studies were selected for final analysis following content screening and were examined using VOSviewer for network mapping. The findings indicate that a considerable portion of the literature is concentrated on general themes in futures studies, whereas foundational domains—including the epistemology, ontology, anthropology, and even methodology of futures studies—occupy only a marginal place in the scientific output. Only a limited number of publications have explicitly addressed these essential components.
The co-authorship map shows that Imam Hossein Comprehensive University plays a central institutional role in producing and disseminating scholarship in this field, with certain authors—most notably Mohammad Rahim Ayouzi—occupying key positions within the network. Nevertheless, the collaboration pattern is predominantly intra-cluster, and inter-cluster linkages remain weak, reflecting the formative and relatively insular nature of this field in Iran. The co-word analysis further reveals five major conceptual clusters: systematic futures studies (including methods such as causal layered analysis, weak signals, and scenario development), Islamic sciences and future-oriented thought, critical paradigms and indigenous knowledge, Mahdist teachings and theological interpretations of the future, and, finally, philosophical foundations such as normative values and ontological inquiry.
Overall, the evidence suggests that, despite its quantitative expansion, indigenous futures studies in Iran remains at an early developmental stage in terms of conceptual integration and network connectivity. Advancing this domain requires moving beyond conceptual superficiality toward deeper theoretical engagement, strengthening interdisciplinary collaboration, expanding inter-cluster communication, and investing strategically in foundational research aligned with the cultural and epistemic context of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The results of this study can inform research policy-making, guide priority-setting for academic support, and contribute to the redesign of educational programs in the field of indigenous futures studies. Finally, based on the scientometric analysis, several recommendations are offered concerning the enhancement of interdisciplinary collaboration, the reinforcement of theoretical and conceptual frameworks, the promotion of indigenous knowledge production, and the strategic role of scientific and cultural institutions.
کلیدواژهها [English]
)